Predictability chart

Access

Bookmark the link: Predictablity chart in EasyBI

Request access to EasyBi through YME Information Systems Support Portal. Select Infra Servicedesk form, select Application-Module Jira - Access/Authorization on the form.

Definition

Predictability is "the ability of a scrum team to plan their work in an efficient manner, as to be able to follow through on the created plan."

It is important to note that Predictability does not speak to the value of the items built; it is essential to always link a Predictability chart to a results chart like Business Value, in order to understand what the team truly brings to the organisation.

Data selection

The EasyBI report draws on data from the YME Jira instance to create an automatic chart for all scrum teams. 

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SPRINT SELECTION: The sprints considered in this report are those Active, Closed, and Future (meaning all sprints). It is recommended not to change this. Please note: any sprint which had a story in it that at any point has been assigned to the chosen team will be shown.

Reading the Chart

Let us consider how the data is defined based on an example.

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STORY POINTS FORECAST (turquoise bar): Any story points on items in future sprints are counted in this bar, showing the preparedness of the team for the future.

Tips & Tricks

1) To check why a data point is shown in the graph, it is possible to view the underlying Jira data. To do so, click on the bar or point you are interested in, and choose "drill through issue". 

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5) When sprints from other teams are shown in your chart, this is likely because you have exchanged a story - something that was in their sprint previously and you completed, or something that was in your sprint previously that they completed. If this is the case, the best remedy is to remove the data point.
Alternatively, other team's sprints can be shown because your team or story is assigned incorrectly - this can be fixed by drilling through the item and correcting the data in Jira.

Addendum: Predictability calculation

If you complete 0 storypoints, then Predictability will be 0. However, if you complete twice the amount of storypoints of what you've planned, then Predictability will also be 0. It will be 100% when you complete as many storypoints as you planned. Make sure to only make scope changes together with PO, to optimise Business Value.

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CASE 
WHEN
[Measures].[Sprint Story Points at closing] <=  
[Measures].[Sprint Story Points committed]
THEN
([Measures].[Sprint Story Points at closing]/ 
[Measures].[Sprint Story Points committed])*100
WHEN 
([Measures].[Sprint Story Points at closing]/ 
[Measures].[Sprint Story Points committed])*100 >= 100 AND ([Measures].[Sprint Story Points at closing]/ 
[Measures].[Sprint Story Points committed])*100 <= 200
THEN
ABS((([Measures].[Sprint Story Points at closing] 
/ [Measures].[Sprint Story Points committed]) * 100) -200)
WHEN 
([Measures].[Sprint Story Points at closing]/ 
[Measures].[Sprint Story Points committed])*100 > 200 
THEN
0
END

Business value chart

Link (Under construction)